Real Time Economic Calendar provided by Investing.com.
TRADE PLAN — XAU/USD
MINGGU, 25 May 2025
BULLISH
MAIN SCENARIO SIGNALS
XAU/USD
↗ BUY
A+
ENTRY ZONE
4,565 — 4,570
CRITICAL ENTRY
4567
STOP LOSS
4,558
TP1
1:1 RR
4,578
1:1
TP2
Extension target
4,590
1:2.1
TP3
Major resistance
4,605
1:3.2
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
CONFIDENCE SCORE
85
XAU/USD
↘ SELL
A
ENTRY ZONE
4,590 — 4,595
CRITICAL ENTRY
4592
STOP LOSS
4,602
TP1
1:1 RR
4,580
1:1
TP2
Current price support
4,572
1:1.8
TP3
Demand zone
4,565
1:2.5
WIN PROBABILITY
65%
CONFIDENCE SCORE
72
XAU/USD
↗ BUY
A
ENTRY ZONE
4,560 — 4,565
CRITICAL ENTRY
4562
STOP LOSS
4,552
TP1
1:1 RR
4,575
1:1
TP2
Resistance area
4,588
1:2.0
TP3
Extension target
4,600
1:2.9
WIN PROBABILITY
71%
CONFIDENCE SCORE
78
ALTERNATIVE SIGNALS
XAU/USD
↗ BUY
A
ENTRY ZONE
4,580 — 4,585
CRITICAL ENTRY
4582
STOP LOSS
4,570
TP1
1:1 RR
4,595
1:1
TP2
Extension
4,610
1:2.3
WIN PROBABILITY
68%
CONFIDENCE SCORE
75
XAU/USD
↘ SELL
B
ENTRY ZONE
4,595 — 4,600
CRITICAL ENTRY
4597
STOP LOSS
4,608
TP1
1:1 RR
4,585
1:1
TP2
Support
4,575
1:1.8
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
CONFIDENCE SCORE
65
BREAKOUT SIGNALS
XAU/USD
↗ BUY
A
ENTRY ZONE
4,580 — 4,585
CRITICAL ENTRY
4582
STOP LOSS
4,568
TP1
1:1 RR
4,596
1:1
TP2
Extension
4,615
1:2.4
TP3
Major target
4,630
1:3.5
WIN PROBABILITY
72%
CONFIDENCE SCORE
79
XAU/USD
↘ SELL
B
ENTRY ZONE
4,555 — 4,560
CRITICAL ENTRY
4557
STOP LOSS
4,570
TP1
1:1 RR
4,545
1:1
TP2
Support area
4,525
1:2.2
TP3
Major support
4,510
1:3.1
WIN PROBABILITY
45%
CONFIDENCE SCORE
58
SCALPING SIGNALS
XAU/USD
↘ SELL
A
ENTRY ZONE
4,580 — 4,585
CRITICAL ENTRY
4582
STOP LOSS
4,590
TP1
1:1 RR
4,575
1:1
TP2
Support
4,570
1:1.5
WIN PROBABILITY
68%
CONFIDENCE SCORE
75
XAU/USD
↗ BUY
A
ENTRY ZONE
4,565 — 4,570
CRITICAL ENTRY
4567
STOP LOSS
4,560
TP1
1:1 RR
4,575
1:1
TP2
Resistance
4,580
1:1.8
WIN PROBABILITY
72%
CONFIDENCE SCORE
78
XAU/USD
↘ SELL
A
ENTRY ZONE
4,590 — 4,595
CRITICAL ENTRY
4592
STOP LOSS
4,598
TP1
1:1 RR
4,585
1:1
TP2
Support
4,580
1:1.7
WIN PROBABILITY
62%
CONFIDENCE SCORE
70
INTRADAY SIGNALS
XAU/USD
↗ BUY
A+
ENTRY ZONE
4,565 — 4,570
CRITICAL ENTRY
4567
STOP LOSS
4,555
TP1
1:1 RR
4,585
1:1
TP2
Major resistance
4,600
1:2.3
TP3
Extension target
4,620
1:3.7
WIN PROBABILITY
75%
CONFIDENCE SCORE
82
XAU/USD
↘ SELL
B
ENTRY ZONE
4,590 — 4,598
CRITICAL ENTRY
4594
STOP LOSS
4,605
TP1
1:1 RR
4,580
1:1
TP2
Demand zone
4,565
1:2.1
TP3
Major support
4,550
1:3.2
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
CONFIDENCE SCORE
68
SWING SIGNALS
XAU/USD
↗ BUY
A
ENTRY ZONE
4,560 — 4,570
CRITICAL ENTRY
4565
STOP LOSS
4,540
TP1
1:1 RR
4,620
1:1
TP2
Weekly extension
4,680
1:2.3
TP3
Major liquidity target
4,750
1:3.7
WIN PROBABILITY
68%
CONFIDENCE SCORE
76
XAU/USD
↘ SELL
SKIP
ENTRY ZONE
4,600 — 4,620
CRITICAL ENTRY
4610
STOP LOSS
4,640
TP1
1:1 RR
4,570
1:1
TP2
Major support
4,520
1:2.2
TP3
Weekly support
4,480
1:3.3
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
CONFIDENCE SCORE
55
KEY LEVELS
PWH · WEEKLY HIGH
4,579.57
Previous week high · broken, now support
★ RESISTANCE ZONE
4,590-4,595
Next major resistance · supply zone
HARGA SEKARANG
±4,572
Current momentum area
★ DEMAND ZONE
4,565-4,570
Pullback demand · institutional buying area
MAJOR SUPPORT
4,560-4,565
Structure support · deep pullback zone
PDH · BROKEN
4,506.13
Previous day high · major breakout level
NO-TRADE ZONES
EXTREME RSI ZONE
08:30-10:00 ET
19:30-21:00 WIB
RSI 97+ extreme overbought, unpredictable price action
ASIA DEAD ZONE
00:00-03:00 ET
11:00-14:00 WIB
Low liquidity setelah momentum spike
NY MIDDAY CHOP
11:30-14:00 ET
22:30-01:00 WIB
Profit taking + institutional rebalancing
📝 Market dalam kondisi momentum ekstrem dengan RSI 97.6+. Breakout major dari consolidation area menunjukkan institutional accumulation selesai. Prioritaskan trend continuation namun siap untuk reversal signal. Partial profit wajib karena overbought extreme.
RULES KHUSUS HARI INI
MOMENTUM EKSTREM · RSI 97+ overbought · Partial profit wajib · SL ketat 5-15 point · Size kecil pada counter trend · Breakout follow through prioritas.
JANGAN trading melawan momentum utama
RSI 97+ dan momentum bullish ekstrem, counter trend sangat berisiko
JANGAN hold terlalu lama pada scalp
Volatility tinggi, ambil profit cepat pada setup scalping
JANGAN ignore partial profit
Momentum ekstrem bisa berbalik cepat, secure profit bertahap
WAJIB partial profit di TP1
RSI ekstrem membuat reversal bisa tiba-tiba, minimal 40% close di TP1
FOKUS pada breakout continuation
Momentum kuat, prioritaskan setup yang searah dengan trend
GUNAKAN tight stop loss
Volatility tinggi, SL ketat 5-15 point untuk protect capital
RSI extreme dapat trigger reversal tiba-tiba
Siap exit cepat jika momentum berubah dengan volume tinggi
Size lebih kecil untuk counter trend
Jika trading melawan momentum, gunakan 0.5x size normal
RISK MANAGEMENT
Modal$1000-2000
Risk/Trade1-2% ($10-40)
Max Drawdown3-5% ($30-100)
Lot Guidance0.01-0.03 lot (RSI ekstrem = size kecil)
⚠️ London session volatility tinggi, NY bisa exhaustion reversal
INSTITUTIONAL SUMMARY
Overall BiasBULLISH
Best SetupBuy Momentum Pullback 4565-4570
Best SessionLondon continuation momentum
Highest Prob.Buy demand pullback dengan trend continuation
Liquidity Target4590-4620 resistance zones untuk profit taking
⚠️ RSI 97+ extreme, reversal risk tinggi meski momentum kuat
📊 Momentum bullish ekstrem setelah major breakout namun RSI overbought. Expect pullback ke 4565-4570 untuk continuation atau exhaustion reversal > 4590. Institutional akan take profit bertahap.